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Hurricanes in Cuba

Travel information

Hurricanes are tropical cyclones. Danger arises through very high wind speeds, waves and heavy rainfalls. In Cuba a common word for a hurricane is 'ciclon'. Season is from May through November. Traditionally, through its well organized system of civil protection Cuba is better prepared for hurricanes then the USA or other countries of the Caribbean. Cuba suffers less loss of human life. Is is not safe from substantial material damages though.

Below, you can check the current weather status obtained from the US hurricane center.

Hurricane season: June through October/November

Fri, 31 Oct 2025 21:06:16 GMT
Source: NHC Atlantic
More info and current maps

      000 ABNT20 KNHC 311708 TWOAT   Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 31 2025  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:  Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has issued the final advisory on  Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa, located about midway between Bermuda  and Cape Race, Newfoundland.  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.  $$ Forecaster Hagen
      
...MELISSA BECOMES A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTHWEST ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... As of 11:00 AM AST Fri Oct 31 the center of Melissa was located near 39.0, -60.5 with movement NE at 48 mph. The minimum central pressure was 973 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 85 mph.
Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025 
000
WTNT33 KNHC 311442
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa Advisory Number  41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132025
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025
 
...MELISSA BECOMES A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NORTHWEST ATLANTIC...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.0N 60.5W
ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM NNE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
None.
 
A brief period of heavy rain and gusty winds is possible over the
southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight. For more
information on impacts in Canada, see the Canadian Hurricane Center
website at https://weather.gc.ca/hurricane/index_e.html
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone 
Melissa was located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 60.5 West. 
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 48 mph 
(78 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue into 
Saturday, followed by a gradual slowdown and turn toward the 
east-northeast later this weekend. On the forecast track, the center 
of Melissa is expected to pass to the southeast of the Avalon 
Peninsula of Newfoundland as a post-tropical cyclone tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 
few days.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275
miles (445 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.
 
WIND: Gusty winds are possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of
Newfoundland tonight.
 
RAINFALL: A brief period of heavy rain is possible over the southern
Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Melissa will continue to affect portions
of the Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, Bermuda, the
Northeastern United States coast and portions of Atlantic Canada
during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025 
000
WTNT23 KNHC 311441
TCMAT3
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  60.5W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  42 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 140SE  90SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 240SE 200SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 360SE 480SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  60.5W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.5N  55.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 140SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 290SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 49.4N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 130SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...210NE 390SE 290SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 53.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 110SE  80SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 390SE 290SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 55.0N  35.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  70SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 390SE 300SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 56.2N  29.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 240SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 57.5N  24.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 210SE 210SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 60.5N  16.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  60.5W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
Issued at 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025 
000
WTNT43 KNHC 311443
TCDAT3
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa Discussion Number  41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132025
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025
 
Melissa no longer possesses organized convection, and is now merging 
with a warm front extending eastward and a cold front extending 
toward the southwest.  Therefore, Melissa is now a post-tropical 
cyclone.  Melissa still has hurricane-force winds, especially in 
the southeastern semicircle, as shown in Thursday evening ASCAT data 
and also shown in the latest global model fields for the current 
time of 15Z.  The initial intensity is lowered slightly to 75 kt, 
mainly based on forecast continuity.  Large swells from Melissa are 
spreading over much of the western Atlantic, resulting in hazardous 
marine conditions in this region.

The post-tropical cyclone is racing northeastward, or 40 degrees at 
42 kt.  This motion should continue into Saturday within the flow 
ahead of an upper-level trough.  Track guidance is in excellent 
agreement that the center of post-tropical Melissa will pass near, 
but to the southeast of, the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland late 
tonight, bringing the potential for some gusty winds and heavy rain. 
Later this weekend, Melissa is forecast to turn east-northeastward 
while interacting with a higher-latitude, upper-level low over the 
North Atlantic.  Very little change has been made to the NHC track 
forecast, which lies very close to the average of the GFS and ECMWF 
deterministic models (GFEX).

Global models indicate that Melissa will continue to be a large and 
strong extratropical cyclone for the next couple of days as it 
traverses the North Atlantic.  Only gradual weakening is expected 
through the weekend, with the system forecast to have 
hurricane-force winds for another 24 h and still be a storm-force 
cyclone in 60 hours.  The NHC intensity forecast is at the high end 
of the guidance suite through 60 hours.  By early next week, global 
models show the large system weakening further as it begins to join 
up with a large and elongated area of low pressure over the far 
northeastern Atlantic, and the system should be absorbed and 
dissipated just beyond the 96-hour point.

 
Key Messages:
 
1. Post-storm safety:  Follow advice of local officials and avoid
areas of downed power lines and flooding. Ensure generators are 
properly ventilated and placed outside at least 20 feet away from 
dwellings and garages to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. During 
clean up, be careful when using chainsaws and power tools. Drink 
plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  31/1500Z 39.0N  60.5W   75 KT  85 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  01/0000Z 43.5N  55.2W   70 KT  80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  01/1200Z 49.4N  48.0W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  02/0000Z 53.2N  41.8W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  02/1200Z 55.0N  35.8W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  03/0000Z 56.2N  29.7W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  03/1200Z 57.5N  24.4W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  04/1200Z 60.5N  16.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025 
000
FONT13 KNHC 311442
PWSAT3
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41   
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132025               
1500 UTC FRI OCT 31 2025                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MELISSA WAS LOCATED    
NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                    
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X  88(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X  58(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  8  76(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X  19(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  5   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HAGEN


Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
 5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 31 Oct 2025 14:45:31 GMT
 
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities 
 Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 31 Oct 2025 15:22:34 GMT

      

We are frequently asked: How are we supposed to behave as a tourist when we get surprised on the island?

Two simple rules:
1. Stay home.
2. Follow the orders of the Civil Protection authorities.

All our Casas have a solid construction base, none is made of wood.

Officially a hurricane starts when wind speed exceeds 118 Km/hour. But even at 50 Km/h persons are advised to seek protection.

Are you there? Have hurricane news to report? Please do:

About HolaCuba

About hurricanes

(This page is searched for and found in the web as "hurrican Cuba" but also as "hurricane Cuba".)

Historic Tropical Storms / Hurricane names in 2011: Bret Irene Ophelia Katia

In 2010: Agatha Earl

In 2009: Ana, Hurricane Bill, Claudette, Danny, Fred, Ida

More about hurricanes in Wikipedia

Do you need a guide? (521)

This would help in all unforseen situations. Winnie, our English speaking guide from Varadero would be pleased to show you her native Cuba. Please ask when making the reservation.

Disclaimer: (239)

External data. HolaCuba ™ assumes no liability for the information provided.

Precautions (123)

Buy enough water and basic supplies. Ask where the next Wi-Fi or internet cafe is (although the service might be interrupted). Talk to private drivers no to miss your return flight (buses may not go).
But first of all follow HolaCuba advice #1: travel in May (no hurricanes)

Travel tips (433)

If you don't take advantage of our airport pick up service you might be lucky to join some experienced tourists who pool together on the arrivals taxi stand.

If you come to Cuba for the first time, please note: bed linen and towels are always included in the private casas.

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image icon Mercedes and Frank rent rooms in Varadero from 2011. Frank works in the office and Mercedes stays home and takes care of you, dear Traveler.